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Here's How Verstappen Can Win The 2022 F1 World Championship At Suzuka

Max Verstappen is on the brink of winning his second crown, and his performance this year has been much more dominant than last year. Here's what he needs to do to win the championship at the Japanese GP, with 4 races to go.
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By Mihir Barve

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4 mins read

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Published on October 9, 2022

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Highlights

  • Max Verstappen needs a lead of 112 points to secure his second World Championship.
  • If Verstappen finishes first with fastest lap, he will be crowned champion regardless of the finish position of others.
  • If Verstappen finishes lower than P6, the title fight will go on to USGP.

Without a doubt, the star performer of this season has been Max Verstappen. Driven by the consistency of the Red Bull team, the Dutchman has already racked up 11 wins with 5 races still to go, and leads the the 2022 Formula 1 World Driver's Championship by a whopping 104 points. This means that Max Verstappen can very well win his second title at the Japanese GP, so long as his lead over the rest of the field is over 112 points. If he manages to do that, he will be only the fourth driver in the entire history of Formula 1 to have secured the title with 4 or more races to go. Only Michael Schumacher and Nigel Mansell have bested this number by winning the 2002 and 1992 championships with 6 and 5 races to go respectively, and Sebastian Vettel having equalled this number by winning the 2011 title with 4 races to go.

Also Read: Max Verstappen Crowned 2022 Formula 1 World Champion After A Dominating Drive At Suzuka

Max Verstappen 2022 07 31 T16 03 57 059 Z

Verstappen has already racked up 11 wins this season in 17 races.

With 4 races to go after Japan, the maximum number of points any single driver can score is 112 (25 points per race + 4 points for 4 fastest laps for every race + 8 points for sprint race win at Brazil). Which is why, Max Verstappen needs to have a 112-point lead in the driver's championship to secure his second title at Japan. This means that he will need to outscore Ferrari driver Charles Leclerc by 8 points, and Red Bull teammate Sergio Perez by 6 points, with every other driver already out of the running for the 2022 Driver's Championship. To do so, there is a whole list of different positions Verstappen can finish in, which we will list down below.

Also Read: Pierre Gasly To Join Alpine To Race Alongside Ocon In 2023

Max Verstappen Charles Leclerc F1 2022 07 09 T15 50 57 348 Z

Verstappen needs to finish 8 points ahead of Leclerc, & 6 points ahead of Perez to win the title at Suzuka.

The most straightforward of these is winning the Japanese GP and also scoring the fastest lap. Doing so will mean that Verstappen will score 26 points this weekend, and even if Leclerc finishes P2, he will only score 18 points - 8 fewer than Verstappen. Should Verstappen win the race and not score the fastest lap point, he will require Leclerc to finish P3 or lower, in order to secure his crown. On the other end of the spectrum, Verstappen will have to finish in P6 at the very least to secure the championship, as falling lower than 6th will mean that he scores fewer than 8 points, meaning that Leclerc will still be in the championship mathematically, regardless of where he finishes.

Also Read: Nyck de Vries To Race In F1 With AlphaTauri From Next Year

Here's how Verstappen can win the championship in Japan:

If Verstappen Finishes

Leclerc Has To Finish

Perez Has To Finish

1st with FL--
1st3rd or lower-
2nd with FL5th or lower4th or lower
2nd5th or lower without FL4th or lower without FL
3rd with FL6th or lower5th or lower
3rd7th or lower6th or lower
4th with FL8th or lower7th or lower
4th8th or lower without FL7th or lower without FL
5th with FL9th or lower8th or lower
5th9th or lower without FL8th or lower without FL
6th with FL10th or lower9th or lower
6thOut of the points9th or lower without FL

FL: Fastest Lap (1 point)
Points for Positions in Race: 1st = 25, 2nd = 18, 3rd = 15, 4th = 12, 5th = 10, 6th = 8, 7th = 6, 8th = 4, 9th = 2, 10th = 1

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Last Updated on October 9, 2022


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